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"Survivor:
China" - Episode Predictions
Contributor: RWilkes |
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Final Episode of Survivor China ~ "A
Slippery Little Sucker!"
"Slippery When Wet!"
by Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota 12.16.MMVII
This China edition of Survivor brings us the third
edition of voting for the final three castaways. Survivor
Cook Islands gave us Becky, Ozzy and Yul.
Survivor Fiji Islands gave us Dreamz, Cassandra and Earl
and now the jury will decide among Courtney, Amanda and Todd.
This intel was uncovered by certain internet spoilers even before
the first episode of the show aired. Hmmm? I
wonder, will the scenario of male castaway winners continue?
Our master detective thinks NOT! Dani recently posted this
on another survivor message board: "Well,
it's that time for Winner projections, so we'll get ours in now.
I spoiled Amanda last with a proper crowning picture, and have had
her in the first place position all along because from everything
we've been told about her, and the game, it's our informed
speculation that leads us to believe
she will garner more favor from the jury, and win Survivor:
China."
In my first article posted on September 18, 2007 (see
below), I made predictions on the list of the final 7
castaways who would complete the game. Here is what I
wrote:
"Internet detectives Vern, Dani and other survivor
website sleuths, with some help from TV guide Survivor
storyboard video promos, have come up with the likely final
seven castaways. Well, this season ... I too .....
umm AGAIN ...... will take my best guess at the boot order of
the final seven players. So, heeere goes!
Note: Highlight the final 7 (list below) only if
you want to know my predictions on the order of the final
seven castaways. (Here I've revealed the
list.)
F7 player .................. James Clement
F6 player .................. Erik Huffman
F5 player .................. Peih Gee Law
F4 player .................. Denise Martin
F3 player .................. Courtney Yates
F2 player .................. Amanda Kimmel
F1 player .................. Todd Herzog
The above list coincides with the boot list order
offered by DanieuBleu ........ although the
final three players were not in any particular order and merely
listed as the final three players. There has been much
discussion on the web speculating that Amanda will be the
ultimate winner. Yet, I have always suggested that
Todd, a student of the game, is the rightful million
dollar winner. Now we shall see ....... if my
prediction has come true.
These are my predictions for the fourth to first
place winners.
Denise (and
the final three) Courtney
Amanda Todd
Denise Martin finishes in fourth place.
The (F4) Immunity Challenge (endurance challenge) winner
is Courtney Yates.
Probst said, "Denise Martin is a lunch
lady. She is one of the most endearing people we've had on the
show in a long time. She has an unmistakable haircut, a mullet.
It's a fascinating piece of hairstyle, you can't help but ask her
about it. Her answer was so charming. She said, "I work with
food so I have a need to keep my hair short to keep it out of the
food. I'm also a woman and I'm a wife and I want to be sexy for my
husband so I want some length in the back. What you see is what
you get."
Yes, the karate black belt holder, elementary
school lunch lady, mother of three daughters from New England
somehow made it to the final four. She made it by flying
under the radar and having the fortunate luck of being a member of
the powerful Fei Long tribe and the reshuffled New Fei Longs
Red Dragons. With James physical challenge assistance, the
Red Dragons won 4 of the 6 immunity challenges up until
the merge episode (episode 7). Alas, Denise will not win a
single immunity necklace to protect her in this game.
Yet, she will outlast 12 other castaways and stay 37 days in the
game. Anyway, who would want to go up against the nice lunch
lady.
Courtney Yates finishes in third place.
Courtney ............ Courtney ...............
Courtney .......... Tiny little half-pint, blond hair, brown
eyed model working for the ID Model Agency of New York! The
English major and waitress can't chop a rope with a machete
but she can sure ride a barrel. That task gave her an
immunity win in episode eight. She didn't get along with
chatter mouth, card shark J-Robert and Courtney always had an
honest or sarcastic opinion about the other members of the tribe.
"Courtney [Yates] is the smallest person
we've had. She couldn't have weighted 100 pounds but she passed
our physical test and was cleared by the doctors. She is one of
the wittiest and negative people we've ever had on the show. I
really got a kick out of Courtney. I enjoyed her sarcasm, her
extremely dry wit. She always had a comment about what was going
on and it was almost always funny and simultaneously insightful.
Her liability is going to be her size. Can she contribute anything
worth keeping her around? Or does she try to last long enough
where her size becomes an asset because nobody thinks she can win
so they keep her around. She's in a really interesting position.
If I were her I'd just try to bury myself somewhere in the middle
and hope I can make it so late that a combination of my
personality and my lack of physical ability will make me somebody
you want to keep around. Courtney was, for me, a delight because
of her caustic personality," said Jeff Probst.
Courtney was never a popular player on the CBS
popularity poll as she always polled in the low single
percentages. Yet, none of the other final four castaways did much
better (single digits and teens). Like Yau Man of
Survivor Fiji, James who was booted in episode 10 was the most
popular player. He always rated in the double digit
percentages and reached a popularity rating of 55% in episode
nine.
Courtney voted lock step with Amanda and Todd since
the merge and that voting alliance has kept her in the game.
But most speculate that Courtney will not win the million
dollars.
Amanda Kimmel finishes in second place.
Probst stated, "Amanda [Kimmel] is a
former Miss Montana. She's beautiful. Great physical body in terms
of athlete. She's very strong and can pull her own weight at camp
and at challenges. She knows the game very well. She totally gets
how Survivor is played. She is playing to win. Amanda is somebody
you look around and think she's a little like Amber,
keep her around until you don't need her anymore. Good luck."
Sorry ............ but here I must go against the
crowd. I say Amanda was NOT controlling this
game. Although, she may win the million dollars like Amber
did in Survivor All Stars. It was Todd Herzog (just like Rob
Mariano) pulling the strings!
In episode 2, Jaime gave the hidden idol clue to
Leslie whom immediately reveals it to Todd. In episode 3,
Leslie gave the hidden idol clue to Todd and not Amanda. In
episode 4, Dave gave the hidden idol clue to Todd. After the
player swap of episode 5, in the next episode James delivers
another hidden idol clue to Todd. Todd only
then, fills in Amanda about the hidden idol (Until then,
Amanda had no idea of what was going on) and both Todd and
Amanda get the first plaque. Todd then
tells James about the other clues, gives him the first plaque for
safe keeping and instructs James to retrieve the second plaque
which is located at the Zhan Hu camp.
At the merge (episode 7), Todd
convinces the others to keep J-Robert for another few days because
they need the numbers and his vote. In episode 8, James is targeted
by Todd to be eliminated because he is a challenge threat and
holds the two formerly hidden immunity idols. Yet, J-Robert
is even more of an annoyance to the tribe and with Courtney's
approval, (she desperately wanted to get rid of him)
J-Robert is booted. The grave
digger (James) who feels secure in his alliance is
blindsided in episode ten. In that episode Amanda said "I'm
ready to get rid of my ally [James] in order to eventually win the
whole thing." Yet, two episodes later when she won
her only immunity challenge and had her chance to control, upset
the game plan and take Todd - out of the game - ......... she
didn't. Instead PG was eliminated.
Todd Herzog finishes in first place and
wins the title, "Sole Survivor, China!"
Probst seemed to know that Todd was a potential winner.
He said, " ....... Todd, he's one of the biggest fans
ever. The first day he says something like that to me. He goes,
"Jeff, I've been watching this show since I was 16. I've
been waiting until I could apply." This kid couldn't drive
when we started. He did know the game. It's because he's been
watching since he was a kid. I'll tell ya, in his case, it pays
off. He knew going in how to start the game. He had a game plan
how an alliance best worked and how you worked people."
"...... Of all the people on the show this season,
Todd knew Survivor the best. Todd knows what to expect. He knows
the odds of there being a merge or a loved one visit or an
auction. He can tell you based on what day it is what we're
probably doing back at base camp. It's kinda scary how much he
knew about the show. He's a great storyteller. Like Jean-Robert,
Todd is somebody you go to all the time because he always gives
you something good."
Twenty two year old, Utah native, gay Mormon,
flight attendant, Todd Herzog deserves to win the million dollars.
Yet, most claim he doesn't win. It all depends on how he
handles the question and answer session from the jurors. I
say he was .......... the consummate player's player! Yet,
except for Richard Hatch (survivor Borneo) and maybe
Brian Heidik (survivor Thailand) no one player's player
has come close. Todd Herzog was a
strategist, a schemer and a little bit slippery but isn't
that what you really need to do in order to win the game of
survivor?
Till next time ........ see you for All Star
Survivor in Palau Micronesia.
ron wilkes
copyright 2007
all rights reserved
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Episode 12 ~ "Hello, I'm
Still a Person"
"The Last Yellow
Tiger"
By Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota
12.13.MMVII
Five castaways are left in the game.
Nerves are frayed and some alliances may crumble in three more
days of Mark Burnett's game of survivor. We will soon know the
final four. But first we must endure another reward
challenge.
The challenge board calls this reward
challenge "Zen Archery." Thanks
to SFN staffer Zinc, the castaways are using a Chinese
repeating crossbow to shoot arrows at a gameboard which holds 25
colored squares. Each player has five of their own colored
squares affixed in various patterns on the game board.
We expect the task is to eliminate the opposing castaway by
hitting their colored square.
Well, Who Wins?
Todd wins the reward
challenge and takes Courtney as his guest on an overnight visit
to the Great Wall of China.
Meanwhile, back at the camp Amanda,
Denise and P.G. discuss the possibility of forming a new
alliance and possibly getting rid of Todd at the next tribal
council event. Will a new alliance take hold or will old
alliances survive? Hmmm, guess we will soon find out.
However, much strategy will depend on who wins the individual
immunity talisman.
As usual, at this timeframe in the
game, the immunity challenge is a super challenge which
incorporates several of the past challenge tasks into one event
entitled "Chinese Leftovers." It
seems to be a multi-stage elimination event. Most suggest
that Amanda wins her first immunity challenge and thus wears
the immunity necklace to that evening's tribal council. I
agree!
Back in September, internet
spoilers 'Vern' and 'DanieuBleu' gave us the
name of this episode's victim.
Peih-Gee Law
I've always liked P.G. and I'm glad
she survived 36 days on an island in the Zhelin Lake reservoir in
mainland China. She was an outspoken and a competitive
player. She has won two immunity necklaces which has kept
her in the game. But not this time ......... and now, it's
time for her to go.
Probst said, "Peih-Gee
[Law] has a very strong opinion about everything and that is going
to be her biggest obstacle to get over is to not tell you what she
thinks...and often it's negative...and often it's delivered in a
negative way. What Peih-Gee has going for her is willpower. She
will not go away. You're going to have to really want to get rid
of her."
Yet, you have not head the last from
this Asian gal, who is the last yellow tiger from
the former Zhan Hu tribe. She is the sixth of seven
jurors whom will chose the sole survivor from among the final
three castaways.
Reward: Todd Herzog
Immunity: Amanda Kimmel
Boot: Peih-Gee Law
Look for my final episode article
on Sunday and read my predictions for the final episode
including the final three castaways and my choice for the ULTIMATE
survivor of Survivor China.
ron wilkes
copyright 2007
All Rights Reserved
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EP-11, "Going For The
Oscar!"
"Crocodile
Tears!"
by Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, MN
12.06.MMVII
Well, it's time for the family visit
and a reward challenge ensues where probably the castaway's
loved ones participate. Most speculate that Denise and her
husband wins the challenge and chooses both Todd, Amanda and their
family members as her reward guests on the reward trip.
Todd wins the immunity obstacle course
challenge and Erik Huffman gets sent packing. Erik was a
past target and now it's his time to go. No crocodile tears
for him.
Erik Huffman
Reward Challenge: Denise
with guests Todd and Amanda
Immunity Challenge: Todd
Herzog
Booted: Erik Huffman
ron wilkes
Copyright 2007 ALL
RIGHTS RESERVED
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Episode 10, "Ready To
Bite The Apple"
"Grave-Digger!"
by ron wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota
11.29.MMVII
CBS Teasers:
- One Castaway grows anxious
and threatens to change things up by blindsiding
her
best friend.
Translation: Denise may consider blindsiding friend James.
- Also, an alliance
considers blindsiding one of their own.
Translation: Todd's alliance may consider blindsiding James.
- And all the castaways are
blindsided by a surprise announcement from Jeff.
Translation: Some spoilers suggest that Jeff
announces that the next reward challenge will begin immediately
after the tribal council event.
Hmmm! What does this episode's
title suggest?
According to SFN staffer Blind
Freddy, it was
James
who spoke the (EP-9) last episode's title:
'Just Don't Eat the Apple'
, when referring to Courtney flirting with
Frosti. Now we have this episode's title: 'Ready
to Bite the Apple'."
Well, I say that this refers to the Biblical
"Garden of Eden" story. James brought up - the
don't eat the apple thing - during a confessional in the
last episode. James' WARNING was relating to the Frosti -
Courtney hook-up. Yet, Frosti did not heed the biblical
warning. And FROSTI was sent out of paradise.
Therefore, in this episode,
JAMES
(somehow symbolically, I dunno, - or maybe by causing
trouble in camp, by attempting to exercise his power or by
threatening Todd and Amanda) is ready to go against
Todd. And by doing so ..... James is ....
'Ready to Eat the Apple'
..... and thus, (in biblical story terms) he
(James) actually DOES
eat the apple and is
sent out - BOOTED out
of the 'Garden of Eden' ..... or in our case, he's voted out of
the game.
Well, back on September 13th,
spoiler detective 'DanieuBleau' of the website
SurvivorSkills told us that James would be a final sixth place
player. Then, about ten days later she revised his finalist
position to F7. Now recently, she confirmed her
prediction when she wrote, "James
has the two powerful, game-saving Hidden Immunity Idols in his
possession and his situation in the game looks great! He
felt secure in his alliance and safe in the game.
Unfortunately for him, his position turns bleak when he should use
a Hidden Idol but doesn't. He never sees the blindside coming when
he's led into snuffination, like a lamb to slaughter."
James Clement
At the teleconference Jeff Probst
said, "James [Clement] is a grave-digger from Louisiana.
Physically, the biggest guy we've ever had on the show. Surprisingly
one of the most agile." ".... James is kind of
like a gentle giant in that he's pretty quiet unless you rile him
up and then he has no filter and he will say whatever he is
thinking at whatever volume he wants to say it. That was
interesting and a bit of a liability for him out there."
The problem with James is that he was
too much of a threat to Todd and Amanda's alliance. Indeed,
he was a physical challenge threat. Moreover, he was the
holder of not one but two of the two formerly
hidden immunity idols. After Todd had revealed the hidden
idols secrets to him, James did not offer to share the
immunity security with others in his alliance and his with
outspokenness (i.e. throwing his weight around) and with
his other two weapons, it is to no ones surprise (well
..... except to his) that James Clement just
had to go! I guess it's so true that our gravedigger
castaway has dug his very own grave.
RC: James
- Amanda team gets to visit the Shaolin Temple
IC: Erik
Huffman
VOTED OUT: James
Clement lasts thirty days in the game
ron wilkes
copyright 2007 all
rights reserved
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Survivor China, Episode Nine:
"Just don't Eat the Apple"
"Courtney
and Frosti in the Garden of Eden!"
by ron wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota
11.15.MMVII
There is not much to go on for this
episode except for some previous intel garnered from some internet
spoilers. So, I guess that will have to do. Anyway,
here are my abbreviated predictions for this episode.
CBS teasers:
A new force to be reckoned with takes on
the power players.
Translation: P.G. shows that she can compete with
the power players and she wins her first individual immunity
challenge.
When one girl starts kissing and caressing someone outside
her alliance, her allies are not happy.
Translation: Courtney starts kissing and
caressing Frosti. Todd or Amanda are not happy with
that situation.
One vulnerable castaway may change his fate by…acting
like a sheep?
Translation: Erik changes his fate by
......... acting like a sheep and helps to vote out Frosti.
Baaaa Baaa!
Mike "Frosti" Zernow
Bye Bye 'Frosti'!
Summary:
RC: Yellow team (Amanda,
Erik, Frosti & maybe Denise?) wins the boat trip reward
IC: P.G. Law
wins the magic immunity necklace
Boot: Mike 'Frosti'
Zernow is the ninth eliminated castaway and the
third Juror
ron wilkes copyright
2007 all rights reserved
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EP-8, "High School Friend
Contest"
"A Bad
Deal!"
by ron wilkes
Frostbite Falls, MN
11.08.MMVII
In early September in a TV Guide
article Jeff Probst said, Immunity idols are now
"hidden in plain sight" at each camp — unbeknownst to
most players. And each week, someone is kidnapped by members
of the other team and induced — sometimes by forced starvation
— to rat out their own tribe and form alliances with their
captors.
The final twist: Three players go to final tribal council again
, says Probst. "It prohibits one person winning through to
the end and then taking an extremely unlikable person with
them."
Well Jeffy, I say that was nice hype!
Now .... let's look at the facts. In the last seven
episodes only four players (Jaime, Leslie, Dave and James)
were kidnapped. No kidnapped castaways were starved. And
both hidden immunity idols (plaques) have been found.
Moreover, we know that James controls both plaques and the two
tribes have merged into one.
In the last episode, J.R.
confidentially told James that he has obtained the hidden immunity
idol. Soon everyone will know that gambler Bobby is
merely bluffing. Hehehehe!
Anyway, I expect that there will
be no more kidnapped castaways and maybe Todd's powerful
Fei Long alliance group may begin to crumble. Does the
alliance actually crumble? Not on your life! Courtney
is on the edge ....... of something .... but I not sure what it
is. She desperately wants to get rid of J-Robert .........
and Courtney will probably get her way in this episode, since
most insiders give - two to one odds - that Bobby is eliminated
in this episode.
Yes, the numbers reveal that the cards
are stacked against the remaining former Zhan Hu castaways Erik,
Frosti and P.G. Moreover, the cards are even more stacked
against J-Robert. He is the outsider in the old Fei Long
gang of six. Yet, as a former L.A. nightclub owner (Sky
Sushi), an author and a professional poker player, can he
find Todd's tell? Does he know what Todd has planned
for him? Maybe, but even with J-Robert's feeble
attempts to survive, he won't be able to do anything which will
keep him in this game. It isn't in the cards!
A bio article on Bellande whose
nickname is "Action Bob" said, "At
the poker table, Bellande is the ultimate psychological warrior.
He often baits his opponents with ceaseless chatter and enjoys
putting his opponents on tilt."
Actually, we have found that those
same obnoxious tactics do not work in the game of survivor.
Well, it's round eight and unfortunately, Bobby ..... its time to
fold-em, throw em down and cash in your chips.
Jean-Robert Bellande
Host Probst said of him, "Jean-Robert
[Bellande] is extremely confidant to the point of cocky
arrogance. Part of that is his plan, part is just natural
personality. In terms of somebody you want to have on the
show, he's gold."
With a 1 in 16 shot at a cool
million dollars, we find that J-Robert is the eighth player in the
game to go bust! But hey! He was only eight players
short of a million. Yeah ....... but pleeze don't hold
your breath Bobby 'cause close only counts in horse shoes and hand
grenades! Seems like 'Action Bob' just got hold of a
bad deal. Anyway, Bobby you were just so lucky
to get this far.
Summary:
EP-8, Reward
Challenge: J-Robert's team of James, Todd and Amanda
EP-8, Kidnapped:
No one
EP-8, Immunity
Challenge: Frosti Zernow
EP-8, Voted Out:
Jean-Robert Bellande is the second member of the
jury
ron wilkes copyright
2007 all rights reserved
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Episode 7: "I'm Not as Dumb as I Look!"
"Untitled"
by Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota 11.01.MMVII
In the last episode, James was given the hidden immunity plaque
in a clever scheme devised by Todd. Frosti was brought
into the alliance because he briefly saw the hidden immunity
message when the plaque was obtained by Todd and Amanda.
Later at the immunity challenge, Todd's plan was to actually win
the gross food eating challenge and James was to throw the
challenge for the Zhan Hu tribe and then boot out Jaime at the
next tribal council event. Well, it didn't work out as
planned. The yellow tribe actually won this challenge when
Fei Long tribe mate Denise, just couldn't finish her challenge
task.
Well, there will be no surprise in this episode because, as
I mentioned in my last article, upon James' return to the
Zhan Hu camp, he immediately retrieves the second idol plaque.
Yet, when Jaime notices that one of the plaques at the Zhen Hu
camp is missing she says: "I'm not as dumb as I
look!" She and Erik take the other plaque
down. They believe it is the third immunity idol.
But is it the actual hidden idol? Nope! It's
not the correct idol plaque and there is no message (Congratulations
You've Found the Hidden Immunity Idol) written on the
reverse side of this phony idol.
This is the tribal merge episode and the first juror in a
jury pool of seven members will be selected. When the
tribes get together for the expected reward challenge, they
are surprised to learn no challenge will occur but the two
tribes will merge into one, as the blue shirted cowboy Jeff
Probst says, "drop your buffs."
The feast soon ensues with food and booze served and the
castaway's are entertained by Chinese acrobats and performers.
Yet, the castaways are unaware that the food and festivities
also represent a memory challenge that will soon occur .....
at the next immunity challenge. Hehehehe!
The immunity challenge task is to answer questions about the
recent merge events and show performances. Only Frosti can
correctly answer the greatest number of questions. Thus,
he will win the challenge.
Even though Jean-Robert was promoted as a target for
elimination, most predict that Todd still needs him to keep up
tribal alliance numbers. Todd feels that J-Robert can
be strung along for awhile. So what happens at that nights
tribal council? Well, an earlier TV Guide video
promo with a challenge storyboard and a names list gave us
a clue. Jamie's name was mysteriously missing from
the final nine names list. So, we expect that the former
enemy (Zhan Hu) tribe castaway Jaime Dugan
gets booted from the game.
Probst has said: "She's very pretty and she's from
South Carolina. She's got a pretty good head on her shoulders
especially when it comes to being with people. Jaime factors
into the strategy of her tribe quite a bit."
Jaime, you were indeed quite refreshing in the show. it's
so sad to see you go!
EP-7, Reward Challenge: No reward challenge
EP-7, Kidnapped: No one is kidnapped since both
hidden idols have been found
EP-7, Immunity Challenge: Frosti Zernow
EP-7, Voted Out: Jaime Dugan is the
seventh castaway to be booted and the first juror in the game
ron wilkes
copyright 2007 all rights reserved
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Episode 6: "That's Love,
Baby! It Makes You Strong!"
"That's
good Television!"
by Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota
10.25.MMVII
Okay, I must admit that I wasn't
exactly accurate on my fictionalized scenario about the tribal conversations in
my last prediction article. (See my previous article
below). I had speculated that Todd would tell
James about the idol and together they would find the hidden
immunity idol. Then after the player swap, James would take
the idol back with him over to the enemy camp. Well, we
all now know that didn't happen!
It seems, I was just one episode off.
Moreover, it was just local fishermen, not Jeff Probst,
in the fishing boat that carried the secret player swap
message to the tribes. Yet, all was not lost.
With spoiler intel, much of my other predictions were indeed
...... spot on .... and yes, Aaron Reisberger is
now vacationing in China along with Chicken, Ashley, Leslie and
Dave.
I suggest that the tribal swap game twist didn't make for good
television. It was a huge mistake. Why!
Because it occurred thirteen days into the game when the
castaways had already bonded with their respective tribes. Uneven
numbers and possible traitors in your midst brought an untenable
situation for some castaways and provided a clear path to
deception. Hmmm! Come to think of it, maybe that's
what the producers actually wanted after all.
In this episode, at the "Search
and Decode" reward challenge, the castaways search
through rooms in abandoned buildings for clues to solve a
puzzle or to answer questions which were given to the tribes.
The winning tribe will again kidnap an enemy castaway and win
another clue (clue number four) to the
whereabouts of the hidden immunity idol. Thanks to SFN
contributor BlindFreddy, the hidden idol clue reads:
Clue # 4
Open up your eyes
Look neither to the sky
Nor to the grass
For it's right in plain sight
you great big dumb ass!
Okay ......... Okay! That's NOT
the real clue but ..... it is ..... awfully funny. Don't you
agree!
Anyway, Fei Long wins the reward
challenge and strategically chooses to kidnap James.
Their former tribemate will then deliver the idol clue to Todd,
inform the red dragons that Zhan Hu (John Who)
threw the last immunity challenge, tell them that Aaron was booted and explain
PG's devious plan. And I MUST say, it was a brilliant
plan. PG realized that there was no way that Aaron and James
would defect to their side. Let's call it .... the
dark side. So, with the numbers against them and the
looming merge, what choice did the John Who yellow tigers have?
However, Todd will not let the
Zhan Hu plan succeed. Using the fourth clue, Todd
will secretly find the plaque, take it down and turn it
over only to find both a message and a medallion attached thereon.
The message on the reverse
side of the plaque says:
"Attached
hereon you will find
a medallion
on a golden chain.
And with
this idol, you are assigned
immunity
in the game."
Todd will then replace the plaque and
no one will be the wiser. Hehehehe!
But, according to a CBS teaser, a
rival tribemate, ( ahh! .... that would be James)
somehow discovers that Todd has found the hidden idol.
James will plead with Todd, saying that he needs it for
protection when he must later return to the John Who tribe.
Because of course, James fully expects to get booted if the John
Who tigers should attend the next tribal council. Yet,
without the medallion's protection, James would be willing to go.
I assume ...... just to get rid of or away from the John who
tribemates.
Anyway, schemer Todd realizes that he
both needs James strength and more alliance numbers, so Todd gives
James the immunity. In return, James must remain a
faithful loyal ally to Todd and he must return to the old Fei Long
tribal majority alliance after the upcoming merge. And
so the deal is set.
No one knows that unaligned outcast
Frosti has secretly cut a deal with Todd. Frosti will
move to the dark side. Hehehehe (Insert evil laughter
sound effect here.) Some suggest that James also finds the
second hidden medallion which is located over at the John Who
camp. I will agree but I say that James may find it in
a later episode.
(L - R Todd, James)
"Thanks for the idol medallion. Man I owe you big
time!"
Todd probably does not tell the
other castaways that he has found the hidden idol but after
hearing about Peih Gee's plan, Todd suggests that maybe they
should throw the next immunity challenge. Then they
would get rid of either Frosti or
Sherea. Even though the Fei Long tribe dislikes the
irritating J-Robert, Todd feels they must keep
him until at least the merge episode.
Does Fei Long actually throw the
challenge? Well, let's keep that a mystery.
Later, the icky food eating contest
immunity challenge titled "Name that Spoon"
occurs. The castaways must dine on exotic Chinese
delicacies. The new Zhan Hu (John Who) tribe wins the
immunity challenge.
So, who is booted? Well, back
on August 21, 2007 spoiler Vern told us "- One African
Am. is out prejury and one is jury ... neither will be in the
final 2 and probably not [in the] final 3."
Moreover, (per internet detective DanieuBleau)
we know that Sherea Lloyd is slated to be the
next tribal council victim.
Sherea Lloyd
Jeff Probst has said that the fourth
grade teacher was out of her element in China. And yet, she
was both strong in her challenge competitions and strong in her
point of view. "She loves to mix it up. She loves
to go head to head with you about anything. It makes for good
television," he said.
Hmm! I wonder ........ are there
any doctors out there that are as good as Doctor House? Now,
that's good television! Well, bye for now. Have a
good Halloween.
EP-6, Reward Challenge: Fei
Long tribe
EP-6, Kidnapped: James
Clement
EP-6, Immunity Challenge: Zhan
Hu (John Who)
EP-6, Voted Out: Sherea
Lloyd
ron wilkes
P.S. The next episode is the
tribal merge and the first juror is selected.
copyright 2007 all rights
reserved
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EP-5: "Love
is in The Air!"
"And
something is Rotten in Denmark!"
By ron wilkes
Frostbite Falls, Minnesota
10.18.MMVII
It's the early morning hours of
filming Night 12 - Day 13 and this episode starts out with the
John Hu tiger tribe returning to camp with one less castaway.
Yes, Crazy Dave was unanimously voted out of the game at that
nights tribal council. In the last four episodes,
they have lost three immunity challenges and three members of
their tribe are history.
Dani from the SurvivorSkills website
tells us, "Here's the deal...Todd is
biggest schemer of the season, and Amanda is such a close second
it's unreal. Together they are playing everyone like the
Survivor pros they are. They have James on the hook, and
plan that he shares the idol with them after the merge. They also
have baited Aaron, but he doesn't know about their plan with
James, and he thinks he's tight with the dynamic duo. He's
being set up, and will take the fall."
Now, the scene cuts over to the Fei
Long tribe and we see Todd. He is secretly talking with
James. My fictionalized scenario of the conversation goes
something like this:
TODD: Listen,
James I've got a proposal for you. Truth be told, .... I'm
in an alliance with Amanda and Courtney and we were wondering
if you would be interested in joining our alliance. We need
a strong guy like you to help us win the challenges. If you
agree, I have some information that I could pass on to you.
JAMES: I'm
listening man! Hmm! ..... you, me, Courtney and Aman .....
da ......
TODD: (he
interrupts James) And if we do this right, it can
take all four of us to the finals. Are you in?
JAMES: Okay
..... Okay! I'm in. Now what's that information .....
about?
TODD: Here's
the deal, ....... I have obtained the clues to the secret hidden
idol and we will share them with you. And if you help us get
the idol .... just to show our trust for you ......... you
can hold it for 'safe keeping' .... but after the merge, you
must promise that you will share the idol with our little group.
Do we have a deal?
JAMES: Todd
........ we have a deal! (The guys shake hands and when
James is about to walk away..... )
TODD: (Todd
hesitates a moment and then grabs James by the arm)
Now, James keep this to yourself ............ you know we've got
to stick together on this! Okay?
JAMES: Okay!
The scene cuts over to the John Who
tribe where Sherea, who is busy laying in the shelter is saying
something to the effect that it is sure nice and quiet around here
now that Dave is gone. PG
is tending to the fire and Sherea, looking directly at Frosti who
is stirring a pot on the fire says, "Frosti ....... I'm
hungry .... how about bringing over some food. I have to
keep my strength up for the challenges ..... don't ya know!"
Meanwhile, love birds Erik and Jaime are off secretly making out
in the Garden of Eden jungle under a secluded palm tree.
The next shot fades to the Fei Long
camp where Todd and James find the hidden immunity idol.
James takes down the plaque and reads the message on the
reverse side. It says, "Now
don't get suicidal, with the clues at hand ...... by GOD!
......... you've found the idol ...... you now must make a
plan." Okay, that's not really
what it said ..... but hey, .... at least it rhymes.
The day passes slowly, when the
sun rises bringing the next day (day 14) a fishing
boat carrying Jeff Probst arrives at the Fei Long camp.
TODD: (Looking
out towards the approaching boat) Someone's coming in ...
AMANDA:
Something's going on!
Ah yes, my dear Watson, something is indeed a-foot!. This
unexpected visit tells us that a game twist is about to occur.
Now the scenes switch between the two tribal campsites.
TODD: (reading the message ) "Choose
two warriors from Zhan Hu ... Blah ... blah ... blah!"
SHEREA: (reading the message) "Choose
two warriors from Fei Long ..."
As I mentioned in my last article,
thanks to spoiler intel from DanieuBleau, Aaron
and James of the red dragon Fei Long tribe are
swapped for yellow tigers Frosti and Sherea.
Yet, as fictionalized above, before the player swap occurs, we
know that Todd has filled in James on the hidden immunity idol
clues and both he and James find the hidden idol. Some
suggest that James, as the guardian of the idol, possibly
brings that icon with him when he is switched to the enemy tribe.
Possibly, the idol is security in case of a possible immunity
challenge loss by the new John Who tribe. Because
surely, strong man James would then be targeted for
elimination.
It's the morning of filming day 15 at
the Zhelin Lake reservoir and The 'Plunge, Pull &
Pop-Up' immunity challenge which was previously revealed
to us by both challenge producer John Kirhoffer and via a TV Guide
article by Shawna Malcom now ensues.
According to Kirhoffer and Malcom, "The
challenge had two distinct parts. In the first, two
members from each tribe start out on a raised platform in the
water where, on the word 'go' they must alternately dive down as
far as 15 feet to pull out a series of bamboo poles that each
release a puzzle piece." And according to
Kirhoffer, "the visibility [in the water] wasn't
all that great."
The article continues, "Once
all 12 puzzle pieces have 'popped' to the surface, the survivors
gather them in a boat and race to shore, where the rest of their
respective tribes take over the decipher a complex puzzle."
We expect that new 'John Who' tribal
castaway's Erik and Aaron release the 12 puzzle pieces
and bring them to shore, meanwhile Jaime, PG and James
are responsible for solving the puzzle. The new 'Fei Long'
tribe probably recruits J-Robert and Frosti to
gather the puzzle pieces and Denise, Todd and
Sherea's task is to solve the puzzle.
What happens at the immunity challenge
event? Well, according to our super sleuth Dani, "....
The original Zhan Hu's [who are still on the new Zhan Hu tribe]
throw it. The plan is to have the numbers after the merge, with
Frosti, and Sherea hooking back up with them. However, it
[the planned future hook-up with Frosti and Sherea] doesn't quite
work out that way."
How does the plan to throw the
immunity challenge pan out? Well, internet intel from, Dani tells
us that Jaime brazenly, "... ditches one of the
puzzle pieces, throwing it to the ground."
Thus, new Fei Long wins the challenge and new John Who must go to
tribal council that night.
At tribal council, the original yellow
tigers have a choice between newcomers James and Aaron and we
already know whom takes the fall. One castaway is blindsided
by what occurs.
Aaron Reisberger
Jeff Probst said about him, "Aaron
told us when we first met him, 'When I bartend, I can read
people so fast that I know what to say to them and how to treat
them to get the maximum tip.' I thought that if
he's telling the truth he's going to do very well because that is
at the essence of Survivor, reading people and knowing what makes
them tick and how to get to them."
Well, Apparently the educated, (He's
an Ohio State University graduate with a BS in Hospitality
Management) 32 year old surfing instructor and Mediterranean
wine bistro manager living in Venice California really messed
up in his reading of the clever schemer Todd Herzog or he would
have earlier figured out that there was something rotten in
Denmark.
EP-5, Reward Challenge: No
reward challenge
EP-5, Kidnapped: Four castaways
(Aaron, James and Frosti and Sherea) swap tribes in a
game twist
EP-5, Immunity Challenge:
New Fei Long - Red Dragon Tribe wins
EP-5, Voted Out: Aaron
Reisberger lasts 15 days into the game
ron wilkes
copyright 2007
all rights reserved
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Episode 4: "Ride
the Workhorse 'Til the Tail Falls Off!"
Frostbite Falls, MN
10.11.MMVII
Secret survivor intelligence tells us that a two
for two player swap is to occur in the next episode ...... that
is .... in episode five. We hear Aaron and James
of Fei Long are swapped for Frosti and Sherea of Zhan Hu.
Moreover, this is what we have learned from
DanieuBleau at SurvivorSkills who is talking about James: "Anyway,
while we can't exactly pin-point the exact Episode he [James]
finds the HII [Hidden Immunity Idol] ..... at this time, we
can say with confidence that it's early, and possibly before new
tribe members are brought into FL [the Fei Long tribe]."
She later continued, "It will
be exciting finding out no doubt, but just adding here as well,
that last night we received a tip that at some point,
Todd fills James in on the HII clues."
Now I say, let's look at TODD'S situation at
the beginning of Episode-4. One of his alliance group
[Leslie] has just been voted out. Although, I believe
that he would have rather gotten rid of J.Robert, I believe
that Todd just couldn't persuade enough of the other tribe
mates and thus didn't have the necessary votes. What
does Todd do? Well, Todd needs to replace Leslie to keep
his alliance group numbers high.
So, who is currently in Todd's secret
alliance? I suggest that it's Todd, Amanda, Aaron (he
is Todd's fall guy) and Courtney (she's a weak fall
girl but he needs her vote). So now, who does Todd
bring into his group? Ahh huh ..... he picks strong
man James .... to replace Leslie!
Suppose Fei Long WINS both challenges. Then, according to
just discovered 'YahooTV' promo video evidence posted on
the TrueDorkTimes web site ... they kidnap Dave. Dave
gives the CLUE to James .... who in turn tells TODD.
Later, they both find the hidden immunity idol and .... TODD,
in order to show his TRUST for James, .... allows James to hold
it for Safe-Keeping. Of course, Todd does not know about
the player SWAP which is to occur in the next episode and
therefore, Todd will need to scramble when he loses two of his
alliance mates to the other tribe. Well, that's another
story arc. Anyway on to this episode.
We know about the challenges and I predict
that the [Fei Long] red dragons win both challenges.
The Reward Challenge occurs at the tribal council site at night.
It is entitled ........ "Great Balls of Fire"
......... and involves pairs of tribal castaways picking up
fireballs with chopsticks and putting them in a trough. The fire
ball rolls down the trough, falls into a wok full of flash
powder. The flash powder in the final wok sets off a
fuse which then sets off fireworks. As I previously
suggested, Dave is kidnapped from the
losing Zhan Hu (John Who) tribe and he delivers the third idol
clue to James.
Oh ....... I almost forgot to tell you about
the reward. Well, apparently Mark Burnett feels the tribe
does not properly know how to fish and so he sends some
local Chinese fishermen to their camp. The village
fishermen show the castaways on how to fish like a
cormorant bird fishes. Was that really necessary? I
wonder, isn't that like telling a gopher how to dig in soft
dirt?
In the Immunity Challenge entitled, "Warriors
Dual" the Gladiators enter an arena via a bamboo
thatched gauntlet. Wearing body armor they will square off
for immunity. The details of the task are unknown,
yet ....... I predict another win by the red dragons.
What ancient weapons will be used by the
Chinese warriors who are wearing body armor and helmets? A
Dao (saber), a Qiang (spear), a Jian
(sword), a Ji (halberd ... that is a curved blade and
metal tip mounted on a long shaft), a Shu (metal-headed
club), or a Pi (double-bladed spear)? Nope
......... from what I can see, it's none of the above. The
warriors are using a Boleadora or a Bola
which is a throwing device with dual weighted metal balls
connected by a rope .... cord ..... or chain. Da Dah!
What happens to the warriors? Well ........ like the
Possum Lodge Motto from the Red Green Show says: .......... "Quando
Omni Flunkus Moritati" ..... When all
else fails, play dead!
Okay ...... Okay! ..... Now, quickly .....
on to the predictions! The yellow tiger 'John
Who' tribe goes to tribal council and Crazy Dave gets voted
out of the game. He was supposed to go in the last
episode. Why? Because he was acting like a dictator
and as we all know, virtually nobody likes a DICTATOR! Oh
well!
EP-4, Reward Challenge Winners: Fei Long Tribe
EP-4, Kidnapped: Dave
Cruser (Secretly gives the written Hidden Idol clue
to James Clement)
EP-4, Immunity Challenge Winners: Fei
Long Tribe
EP-4, Boot: Dave
Cruser is the fourth castaway to be voted out of the
game.
copyright 2007 all
rights reserved
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Episode 3: "I
Lost Two hands and Possibly a Shoulder!"
"And
the King has Lost his Head!"
Frostbite Falls,
MN 10.04.MMVII
* The
kidnapped castaway bonds with the kidnappers over issues of
faith, and the floodgates open as that castaway reveals their
own tribe's dynamics.
The secrets is out and the kidnapee (is
that a word ?) is Christian talk radio show host Leslie
Nease who both bonds with Zhan Hu tribe members and spills her
guts about her fellow Fei Long tribemates.
* The
women on one tribe have a hard time getting shut-eye as they
avoid the snuggling and smothering of a cuddly castaway.
" I need to be warm,"
says J. Robert in a CBS promo. Well, apparently
J.Robert gets his warmth by snuggling up with the
tribal women. Moreover, his actions keep them up at
night.
*
As two guys joke in private that the only reason to keep a weak
female tribemate is because one has a crush on her, that woman
spies on their crude conversation.
Two predictions on this teaser are that
the female in question is Courtney (of the Fei Long tribe)
and the guys are Jean-Robert and Aaron .... or maybe ....
the blonde female in question is Jaime (of the Zhan Hu
tribe) and the two guys privately talking are Dave and
Erik.
*
To stew or roast a crab? That is the question that prompts
to alpha-males to duke it out.
My guess here is that the alpha-males
are Dave and either Erik or Frosti .............. and
of course crazy Dave most likely gets his way.
Okay, on to more predictions regarding the
reward challenge, the kidnapping, the immunity challenge and the
boot.
Spoiler intel concerning this episode's "Clear
the Deck" reward challenge was just recently revealed when Galewinds posted
a spoiler intel report by CariC on the SurvivorSkills
web site. It stated, "My sources say Zhan
Hu will finally win and they will kidnap Leslie.
For winning, they win some comfort items like pillows,
blankets, and a tarp."
Later, DanieuBleu at S.Skills
seemed to confirm the information when she agreed that they
had found a new intel source and Dani added, "Yeah,
poor Leslie, she gets pretty sick in this episode."
Well, there you have it! The red
dragon Fei Long tribe loses the reward challenge and tribemate
Leslie is kidnapped by the winning tiger Zhan Hu tribe.
Later, at the immunity challenge entitled "Blade
Runner," we expect a Fei Long win.
The challenge involves a samurai type sword that is used to
hack at objects to possibly gather a set of wooden Chinese
coins which are used to solve a puzzle
Anyway, that makes three consecutive immunity challenge wins for
the Fei Long dragons. And it is to
almost no ones surprise as to who gets eliminated at that
evenings tribal council event.
To succeed in this game of survivor, your
tribal organizational structure needs to be more like a democracy
and less like a dictatorship. Yet, Dave has become a
DICTATOR! He has shown himself to be a CONTROL FREAK. Yes,
all that self appointed power has gone to his head ...... and he
will soon lose that all important appendage.
From China Insider we learn more
about this matter in Ashley's (the recently booted John 'Whose' castaway's)
final words, when she said, "...........but I've said it
in interviews, time and time again, that Dave is going to show
them the reason he shouldn't be in control, and I guarantee you
that I see him on the flip side sooner than he imagines."
Yes, word on the street is that 37 year old,
bartender, model/actor Dave Cruser from Simi Valley, California
.... was flipped out of the game ..... err, the self avowed
motivator and team player took the long walk of shame ...... and
now has ended up on losers lane.
This spoilerish boot information had
previously been revealed late in September with Dave listed as
boot number three on Dani's (DanieuBleu of SurvivorSkills) revised
boot order list.
What can I say! Dave's overly autocratic
leadership style has made him an outsider in his own tribe. He
lost his common sense, lost the confidence of his tribemates in
their island kingdom and when it came time to vote ......Ooops!
....... the king lost his head.
Prediction Summary:
EP-3, RC Winners: Zhan Hu Tribe
EP-3, Kidnapped:
Leslie Nease
EP-3, IC Winners: Fei
Long Tribe
EP-3, Boot:
Dave Cruser is the third castaway to be executed in the
game.
ron wilkes
copyright 2007 all rights
reserved
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Survivor CHINA, Zhelin Lake -
Episode 2: "My Mom is Going to Kill Me"
"The Girl
Next Door"
by Ron Wilkes
Frostbite Falls, MN 02.26.MMVII
In the last episode we found that as a
contestant, you need to come into the game with a plan ...... some
type of a plan .......... any kind of a plan. You need to be
helpful to the tribe, to get along and to BELONG!
Unfortunately, Chicken didn't have a plan or game strategy and
that resulted in his downfall.
Moreover, any annoying or perceived
negative attitude towards your tribe mates can make you an easy
target for elimination in this game.
We also know that it is not a good
idea to get ill when you just arrive at your tribal campsite.
An ill Jessie Camacho in Survivor Africa presented a weakness
to the tribe and she was given a mercy boot. Sixty three
(63) year old fire Captain Jim Lynch was shown puking his guts out
in the first episode of Survivor Guatemala and we all know what
happened to him. And now we see that 28 year old model, pro
wrestler, New York native Ashley Massaro was
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