"Survivor: China"  -  Episode Predictions
Contributor:  BlindFreddy

Finale - 'A Slippery Little Sucker'

'The Frog and the Princess'

By Blind Freddy - 12.16.07

Once upon a time there lived a boy in a place far far away. This Happy Valley professed to contain endless joy and endless time to wonder about the possibilities of life. Let's call it 'Pleasant Grove'. One day this boy saw a TV game show about surviving in the wild for monetary prizes. He thought to himself..."Heck, I do that everyday here in Pleasant Grove, how hard could this 'wild' be?" But alas, he was too young.

Finally the day came when the boy became a man and he let his new found wings fly him off to endless magical destinations. One of these would be the game show Survivor, his dream of long ago. But how would he play this strange game he thought...under the radar?...as everybody's friend?...as the villain?. "Ahhhh I'll take a page from the Masters and become the Manipulator. That will win the game for me. I'll be the frog that turns into the Prince".

Unbeknowst to this man-boy, a young girl had a
similar dream in a not so different happy valley. Let's call it Kalispell. She practiced her princess skills in endless anticipation of the day when she too could try to survive in the 'wild'. "But wait" she thought, "I survive in the wild everyday here in Montana...how hard could it be in a Reality 'wild'?"

Thus the fates of two not so dissimilar fairy tales became entwined into one and began to unfold in a magical place of ancient mystery...let's call it China. A place where frogs and princesses abounded.

But as each day of survival brought new challenges to the fulfillment of their dreams, they persevered in their quests. One to turn a frog into a Prince, the other to turn a lady-girl into a Princess. Could they both fulfill their dream? Alas, there could only be one Sole Survivor and it would take all the manipulations the man-boy could muster and all the poise the lady-girl could muster to advance in the game.

In the end it would be poise that prevailed over manipulation as the two pled their cases to the powers that would decide which dream to fulfill. Was one dreamer more worthy and the other less valid? The deciding factor, it seems, would be the years of practice playing the role with poise and grace. The frog sadly, had not practiced these particular skills and was unable to make the transformation from frog into Prince. And thus on a cool winter evening, far from Happy Valley, one dream ended and another grew real. The girl-lady became the Princess.

And as the prize money was doled out, the moral of the story became clear to both the man-boy and the lady-girl. It was not whether your dream was fulfilled that cool evening, but rather that you chose to dream at all. After all, living a dream is only half of the process...you have to have the dream in the first place.

Congratulations to all of the cast this season on living their dream and to the Sole Survivor, Amanda Kimmel.


4th place - Denise Martin

3rd place - Courtney Yates

2nd place - Todd Herzog

Sole Survivor -  Amanda Kimmel

 


 


Episode 12 - 'Hello, I'm still a person'

'Great Wall of Fei Long'

By Blind Freddy - 12.13.07

This episode Peih-Gee finds her path to the million dollars blocked by a variation of one of Survivor's sacred pagong tools...The Great Wall of Fei Long. Not only will Peih-Gee not travel to the true Great Wall of China for the E12 Reward, but she will also be stymied by the remnants of the Fei Long tribe for admittance to the elite Final 4.

As this season of Survivor: China has progressed, great expectations for scenery, drama and cultural exposure were promoted during the preseason. To date Survivor: China has surpassed these expectations, providing a unique peek into the cultural mystery that is China. The unfolding of the drama and characters that make up the heart of this Reality series has also been intriguing to watch develop. One glaring shortcoming was this past episode's editorial inclusion of Family Visit footage/audio that strayed into unnecessary personal, private and delicate areas. And apparently all for the sake of some tie-ins to previous ratings grabbers. Even if these personal issues come to arise at the Final TC Q & A by the Jury, they could have easily been edited out all around. Tackiness has seeming found a welcome home at SEG production department.

Moving on...the edit of Amanda seems headed directly toward the winner's circle, though Todd is certainly being shown as worthy of the winner's title. And Courtney has progressed from a spoiled NYC brat to a sympathetic duck out of water doing her best. And with Denise, as the sympathy edit for her increases each week, we know in our guts that her time is short. If only she had joined Peih-Gee to fill-in James on his impending blindside, we'd have a much different Final 3.

Which brings us to Peih-Gee. As the lone surviving member of the Zhan Hu tribe, she has managed to dodge the boot every episode since the fateful Merge, including via two Individual Immunity Challenge victories. With the Fei Long 'Welcome' mat withdrawn before the Zhan Hus even appeared at Fei Long's doorstep, the fate of the Zhan Hus was cast in stone. More than earning her Survivor moniker as she finally moves beyond Fei Long's Great Wall...we Welcome Home Survivor Peih-Gee.

Episode 12 Boot - Peih-Gee Law

 


 


Episode 11 - 'Going For The Oscar'

'And The Oscar Goes To...'

By Blind Freddy - 12.06.07

"And the Oscar goes to...<dramatic pause>...Mark Burnett....for 'Survivor' " <and the crowd gasps>. Far fetched? Undeserved? Read on.

Episode 11 will be giving an homage to the Survivor fans via the seemingly impossible task of not only transforming Reality into fantasy...but also the harder task of transforming fantasy into Reality. How is it done you ask? Smoke and mirrors, as always my friends.

Over the course of time, the course of events and the course of Spoiling, fans both avid and evil have created in their cyber Survivor world a series of illusions about what should happen, what could happen and what was going to happen. Wishful thinking never had it so good. So much so that it has been the glue that held this cyber world together via a myriad of message forums. More of a Tower of Babel than a house of cards, this synergy of Survivor enthusiasm has not only spurred the infamous Survivor Entertainment Group to adapt suggestions and ideas by the fanbase into the show's format but also spawned (and there is no better word) the genesis of hoaxers to no end. Some have been more successful than others...a few with great finesse. A pinch of truth stretches more evenly through a pound of false than you might first imagine. 

There have been so many hoaxes in fact that they have been compiled and reviled and have generated their own variations like bad seeds cast adrift by an errant Jesus. Unclecamerman, Cruiseship, Edna Lester, Liz Kicks Butts and on and on. We've seen Black Gretchens, Loser Lodge lists, film crew sheets and even chocolate bars falling from the sky. Is nothing impossible?

One of the more interesting of these reports is that of a horseback version of 'Marco Polo', the children's game. This appeared back in the day of Survivor Outback(S2) and was tied by unanimous hysteria to the fate of Rodger Bingham and of all things...horses. Aborted from the loins of the LA Times, a 'news' story arose about a horseback injury on the set of Survivor Outback. This was deconstructed by Survivor fans into broken collar bones...Outback horseback photos....Rodger's exit...and eventually into the infamous 'Marco Polo' horseback challenge where blindfolded cast rode horses trying to dethrone each other. A more imperfect evolution of information and theory into speculation and fantasy could not be imagined.

And now from this bottomless pool of synergistic fantasy, SEG has shamelessly morphed this into their latest and greatest challenge...'Marco Polo' ala Chinese style. Not content to just embarrass the cast with the usual blindfolded stumble bumble routine, their loved ones from home are sucked into the cesspool as well, as Yin is to Yang. And thus the successful transformation of fantasy into Reality. Nobody does it better. Do you begrudge Mark the Oscar now?

The boot this episode will be decided by the swing vote of Denise who perhaps grateful for the Shaolin Temple Reward visit, spares Peih-Gee's fate for one last episode and in turn seals that of Erik's. To his credit, Erik has played his game as quiet and unassuming as possible while cajoling his way to survival via his considerable charm and chastity. There is no sure fire path to survival and this strategy has worked as well as any...for awhile anyway. Welcome home Survivor Erik.
Episode 11 Boot - Erik Hoffman

Episode 10 - 'Ready To Bite The Apple'

'Everybody Was Kung Fu Fighting'

By Blind Freddy 11.29.07

<click for video> 'Kung Fu Fighting' - HiBand-218kbps   LoBand-150kbps

This episode has been promoted as both one of intrigue involving backstabbing as well as one of unique Chinese cultural interaction. The cultural interaction involves the ancient Chinese Martial Art of Kung Fu fighting. The Reward involves a trip to Shaolin Temple the originating place of Kung Fu. Demonstrations by Kung Fu experts along with a feast will be presented to the Reward winners. Denise especially will appreciate this experience.

And if the Reward winners are wise, they will pick up some tips on using the Shuriken (Throwing Stars), as that will be the test for the Survivors in the Immunity Challenge later in the episode. In the end, either Denise's Karate/knife throwing skills or Erik's baseball background (credit: KObrienFan) might the edge to Immunity here. 

Which brings us to the dramatic conclusion (more dramatic than Courtney's dramatic confessional drivels) of the backstabbing of James, the consummate warrior. While he possesses unprecedented Immunity potential via the two Hidden Idols, James will fail to invoke their protection at Tribal Council. This will provide the opportunity for the previewed backstabbing plan hatched by competitors all the way back to Jean-Robert. Editing is showing Amanda tweaking Todd to throw the fatal Boot Star at his back.

James has shown himself to be an fearless challenge warrior. He has been a relentless worker in camp and a faithful ally to his backstabbers. His only weakness is his lack of depth in game strategy which is vital to survival among his peers. Welcome home James, you've more than earned your Survivor status. And if rumors are correct we'll be seeing you once again as a Survivor, sooner than perhaps we might have once thought.

Episode 10 Boot - James Clement



 


 

Episode 9 - 'Just Don't Eat The Apple'

'InaGardenOfEatin...Baby'

By Blind Freddy 11.15.07

<click for music: InagardenofeatinRemix.wma>

This episode Survivor China will take us to a place most have read of, but never visited. While the beauty that is inland China overwhelms and mystifies us each week, a new sanctum of indescribable beauty and apparently undeniable temptation will be offered the Survivors this week.

Within the Garden of Eden that Lake Zhelin appears to be, lies a special treat for the Survivors...the Garden of Eatin'. This episode Jeff Probst will offer the Survivors a choice between satisfying their appetite for food and satisfying their safety at Tribal Council. Burgers or a chance to win Immunity. For some who feel safe, they will partake of the Garden. For others who feel the shadow of the tribal boot, they will make every attempt to win Immunity. For one fortunate Survivor, safety via the Immunity Necklace will be consolation for the Garden bypass. For another inconsolable Survivor, the burden of passing on both the food and Immunity will be overwhelming.

One additional species always present, in this and any Garden, is Survivor's ever present vermin...the snake. This episode the snake will make his appearance, striking with accuracy on his victim. Unfortunately for the snake, he too will be bitten when the prey reappears to pass judgment for the million dollars. Such is life in the Survivor Garden of Eatin'.

Frosti has been a great cast member bringing his own special flair to the challenges this season. While low profile and strategic deals are generally the path to safety on Survivor, it's the inconvenient snake that always gets you. Welcome home Survivor Frosti.

Episode 9 Boot - Mike 'Frosti' Zernow


 

Episode 8 - 'High School Friend Contest'

'Snookered'

By Blind Freddy 11.08.07

For fifteen seasons now Mark Burnett has loved to showcase castaways faltering in their chosen area of expertise. The oars(wo)man who can't row. The chopper who can't chop. The Mensa who can't solve puzzles...and on and on. And Survivor China is no exception.

In episode eight, we find Jean-Robert the Poker champion scrambling for his life when he finds out he has been Outwitted, Outplayed and soon to be Outlasted by his non-Poker playing comrades. This Poker master should be able to read the 'tells' of any and all of his rivals, especially at this point in the game. However last TC Jean-Robert found himself completely in the dark about the Hidden Idols, which virtually everyone else knew full well about.

And what play does this Poker master pull from his bag of tricks?...the bluff play. Jean-Robert tries to bluff the one person in the tribe who knows without a doubt what and where the Hidden Idol(s) are...because he (James) has both of them already. This will be a bluff very poorly played and the results will be very 'telling'.

While Jean-Robert has many of the tools that would potentially help him in his Survivor quest for the million dollars, he has fallen short from the get-go by violating one of the basic rules of any game, Poker or otherwise: 'respect your opponent'. Jean-Robert failed to do much of any research on how Survivor is played or even whom might be attracted to such a social game. He failed to respect the quality of the game and the quality of his opponents. This will be his downfall. The 'rubes' Jean-Robert might have thought he was facing will take him to task at Tribal Council and call him on his bluff. Coming up empty handed, Jean-Robert will exit much sooner than his vast abilities might have carried him were he to have done even the minimum background research on Survivor.

So Jean-Robert good-guy/bad-guy strategy will come to an end tonight revealing his own 'tells' to future Poker opponents. Survivor is a vicious social game that rivals any in the card playing world. He would do well to keep that in mind the next time he visits the card table as well.

Welcome home Survivor Jean-Robert, it was a good run while it lasted. Next time know and respect your opponents.

Episode 8 Boot - Jean-Robert Bellande


 



Episode 7 - 'I'm Not as Dumb as I Look'

'Stupid is as Stupid Does'

By Blind Freddy 11.01.07

This episode brings the Merge to the castaways just as a pallor of stupidity envelopes them all. Hidden Idols are wistfully created in people's minds as they will seem to spring up everywhere this episode. Stupid is as stupid does.

And even those who have the real ones aren't fully thinking things through when bragging about their invincibility at Tribal Council of all places. Someone will even attempt to lighten James' heavy HI load a bit until SEG slaps their hand and says: 'No!'. Lastly we have Courtney continuing on her Quixote-like quest to boot her evil nemesis Jean-Robert...much to Todd's frustration. Stupid is as stupid does.

So it would seem the theme for this episode would likely fit the Forrest Gump soundbite of: 'Stupid is as stupid does'. So when we think back to Jaime's poor tact with regard to the IC5 chal throw, it should come as no surprise that the stupid gene runs deeper than just this episode. It's one thing to make a clever play and yet another to rub it in someone's face. Stupid is as stupid does.

A hard fighting gamer beneath a placid exterior, Jaime has gamed her way this far to win the heart of Erik and the votes of her enemies. A true survivor...welcome home Survivor Jaime.

Episode 7 Boot - Jaime Dugan


 


 

Episode 6 - 'That's Love Baby, It Makes You Strong!'

'Strategery'

By Blind Freddy - 10.25.07

Sometimes a pic is worth a thousand words. This is one of those times.

James Clement

This episode strategy and sometimes 'strategery' will come into play big time as James struggles to survive over at NuZhanHu. As deals fly and wizards whiz, a dangerous plan is concocted to turn the tables on those challenge throwing NuHus of the yellow buffed variety.

I suggest that Survivor whiz-kid Todd along with Amanda and under the watchful gaze of peeping-tom Frosti, will discover the NuFeiLong Hidden Idol. Hush money in the form of Episode Immunity is promised as deals are made. One step in the plan is the kidnap of James back home to report on all things HuZu.

When the HuZu 'strategery' of challenge throwing is fully realized, a counter strategy is proposed to give the HI to James for his return to HuZu land. And hopes are raised to lure the HuZus into following through with an Immunity challenge throw and a TC targeting of James. The obvious consequences of such a complicated plan are the booting of one of HuZu's own in James' place.

Now 'strategery' is an interesting approach to gameplans both in real life and reality life as we've come to know. Solid planning can often go awry when assumptions are made and the power of free will runs amok. Some of both can be expected this episode.

Ultimately, I predict that James' ambush plan will go unfulfilled and NuFeiLong will lose the Gross Food IC. Now this is where strategy from an orphaned NuZu will prove vital to his safety. Remember peeping-tom Frosti?...well that deal to hush will save him this episode and force the boot of Sherea. In this case, 'no plan' is clearly inferior to a dangerous plan, a bad plan...and even to, dare we say it: 'strategery'.

Sherea is well accustomed to making teacher plans in her real world classroom. It's hard to understand why there seemed to be no real plan in her Reality world adventure. Perhaps it was just too well hidden. Regardless, Sherea excelled in the challenges and proved herself worthy of the title Survivor. Welcome home Survivor Sherea.

Sherea LloydEpisode 6 Boot - Sherea Lloyd

 


 

Episode 4 - 'Ride the Workhorse Till the Tail Falls Off'

'Save a Horse, Ride a Bartender'

By Blind Freddy - 10.11.07

Well here we are again, same pony...same ride...just further along on the boot trail. Get-along-little-doggy, get-along. Dave has extended his fifteen minutes to twenty while foiling the spoilers in the process. So kudos to CBS for salvaging at least one boot (so far) for the season. Are they on a roll?

Justifying a Dave boot (once again) is easy for the fans. Dave it seems has offended most, if not everyone, on his tribe with his sarcasm and slighting remarks. Just bad judgment on his part I'd say and not necessarily a mean streak in his heart. This is after all, a TV show...remember? And a Reality one at that.

Sharing the spotlight this episode will be the rise (and soon to fall) spotlight of Jean-Robert as he implements his unique good survivor/bad survivor strategy. Unfortunately low energy levels provide for low attention spans and at this point in the game his trajectory course might be already plotted.

In the meantime, Dave's usefulness as the workhorse over at Zhan Hu is running thin as the ever shrinking tribe reduces to its core. And even some of those will be thankful for the coming switch next episode to save their hides.

So are there any surprises left for the viewers? Of course...CBS would never fill in all the blanks. So keep your eyes on the prize(s)...Hidden Idols that is...lots of surprises in that area during the coming episodes.

Welcome home (again) Dave. Time for the workhorse to hit the barn.

Dave CruserEpisode 4 Boot - Dave Cruser 

 


 

Episode 3 - 'I Lost Two Hands and Possibly a Shoulder'

'Home Improvement'

By Blind Freddy 12.04.07

As things deteriorate at the Zhan Hu homefront, its inhabitants continue to search for a way to do some home improvement. Let's see...they could re-build their shelter someplace other than a swamp/mud pit. They could hide the dirt under the metaphorical rug, pretending it doesn't exist while continuing to circle the drain. Or maybe they could do a clean sweep of the debris within their camp and start anew.

Now any major home improvement project requires a handyman, one handy with tools...a 'toolman' per se. Low and behold, square in the middle of the Zhan Hu squalor sits our very own Dave 'the toolman' Cruser. Let's see if he can make things right.

Ummmm no, apparently he can't...though he can build a mean BBQ. Unfortunately the cuisine of choice is not BBQ but rather Stir Fry. And who better to stir and fry his butt than his fellow tribemates who are tired of the attitude and rudeness. In Dave's defense, outdoor survival with rudimentary provisions will test anyone's patience. But with a million dollars at stake, a little patience costs very little against the long-term payback. 

Normally, tribal progress should be at least as fast as even today's relaxed construction worker standards. And deadlines should be met just like any home improvement project. But you'd think that a 'toolman' like Dave would know his craft and keep the project moving along smoothly. Well you'd be wrong.

Dave chose poorly when he took the leadership bait. He chose poorly in his communication methods. He chose poorly in setting his priorities. And now the tribe will hold him accountable for his actions. Not that it will change much considering the poor work habits of an unskilled tribe. Afterall there's only so much you can do with the tools you have left...now isn't there.

Welcome home Survivor Dave, it's a shame to leave a project undone but it's somebody else's mess now. The lesson to be learned here: if you're gonna be a toolman, you'd better at least know how to use your tools. We'll see if the workerbees do any better on their own. Oh wait...Chicken said that same thing. And the beat goes on....

Episode 3 Boot - Dave Cruser

 


 

 

Episode 2 - 'My Mom is Going to Kill Me'

'Big Trouble in Little China'

By Blind Freddy 9.27.07

In the world of the blind, the one eyed man is King. In the world of warfare, the biggest rock wins...most of the time. But this season in China, one tribe declines a gift-in-hand from the Probster, which virtually lays out a gameplan for victory. The other tribe embraces it. Guess which tribe will dominate the game...that's right, not the one with biggest rock but the one who knows how to throw it.

After booting their strength in the premiere Tribal Council visit, one can only wonder what the Zhan Hus were thinking. Perhaps it's 'boot all my tribemate competitors as fast as I can regardless of the consequences...and hope I'm still there to be Pagonged'? Ultimately I think it's less of a thought process than the 'anyone but me' mantra of scared chickens dodging pieces of a falling sky. My gawd it's episode one of many more to come and they've already surrendered their spirits to cannibalism. I'd have to say at this point that there's big trouble in little China.

One of the gems of wisdom that Season 2 Sole Survivor, Tina Wesson bestowed upon the spoiler community was to watch whom the cast stand/sit next to as well as whom they vote for. Two Zhanbies in particular voted out of sync from the rest of the chickens last episode: Dave and Ashley. If Tina's wisdom is to play out, one of those would be at risk were the Zhan Hus to return to TC again.

Lo and behold, as sure as chickens don't have lips and silicone is not found only at the beach, we see the Art of War playing out before our eyes and the victims lining up for execution. If not this week, then next. Only manipulations of the playbook will save those who have failed to pay homage to Sun Tzu's wisdom.

In the game of Survivor, carrying baggage is not a good thing. Whether it is because you managed to sneak by homeland security or they were just 'star struck' at inspection time. Either way, eventually the baggage will cause a moment of weakness in a game of strength.

This week the biggest rock will be in jeopardy while the smartest rock will prevail. Welcome home Survivor Ashley...while you still have your baggage, the bad news is that they've got a Ponderosa destination tag on them.

Episode 2 Boot - Ashley Massaro

 

 


 

Episode 1 - 'A Chicken's a Little Bit Smarter'

'Where I Come From'............(It's Cornbread and Chicken)

By BlindFreddy 9.19.07

'Cause where I come from
It's cornbread and chicken
Where I come from a lotta front porch pickin'
Where I come from tryin' to make a livin'
And workin' hard to get to heaven
Where I come from...' - Alan Jackson

It's almost a sure bet that at some point during Episode 1 of Survivor: China, Steve 'Chicken' Morris will utter the words: "Where I come from..." And that will be his undoing. It's only fitting that in Survivor's waning days, that some elements from its initial season reemerge to begin to complete the cycle.

Now a channeling of BB from Season One would seem a likely mistake for any Survivor fan to make, but that's the plate that gets served up this episode during the construction of the Zhan Hu tribe's shelter. Somehow old fashioned comfort food doesn't translate well to the Chinese menu laid out for this season.

And from promo videos and online sources (ty DanieuBleau) it seems unlikely that 'Chicken' will be doing a lot of front porch sittin' way sooner than he might have thought of when he first journeyed to the land of China.

But as this season begins by entering the Dragon via an elaborate Dragon Dance obstacle course, we might find several of the cast who have dutifully done their homework will survive deep into the game. Finally after 16 seasons, it could pay to be a fan.

Welcome home Survivor Steve. While China was just a little too far off the country roads you know and love well, there's always Cornbread and Chicken waitin' just a step or two from that front porch of yours to comfort you upon your return home.

Episode 1 boot - Steve 'Chicken' Morris 

 


 



 

 







 

 


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