"Survivor:
China" - Episode Predictions
Contributor: BlindFreddy |
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Finale
- 'A Slippery Little Sucker'
'The Frog
and the Princess'
By Blind Freddy
- 12.16.07
Once upon a time there
lived a boy in a place far far
away. This Happy Valley professed
to contain endless joy and endless
time to wonder about the
possibilities of life. Let's call it
'Pleasant Grove'. One day this boy saw
a TV game show about surviving in the
wild for monetary prizes. He thought to
himself..."Heck, I do that everyday
here in Pleasant Grove, how hard could
this 'wild' be?" But alas, he was
too young.
Finally the day came when the boy became
a man and he let his new found wings fly him
off to endless magical
destinations. One of these would be the
game show Survivor, his dream of long
ago. But how would he play this strange
game he thought...under the radar?...as
everybody's friend?...as the villain?.
"Ahhhh I'll take a page from the
Masters and become the Manipulator. That
will win the game for me. I'll be the
frog that turns into the Prince".
Unbeknowst to this man-boy, a young girl
had a similar
dream in a not so different happy
valley. Let's call it Kalispell. She
practiced her princess skills in endless
anticipation of the day when she too
could try to survive in the 'wild'.
"But wait" she thought,
"I survive in the wild everyday
here in Montana...how hard could it be
in a Reality 'wild'?"
Thus the fates of two not so dissimilar
fairy tales became entwined into one and began
to unfold in a magical place of
ancient mystery...let's call it China. A
place where frogs and princesses
abounded.
But as each day of survival brought new
challenges to the fulfillment of their
dreams, they persevered in their quests.
One to turn a frog into a Prince, the
other to turn a lady-girl into a
Princess. Could they both fulfill their
dream? Alas, there could only be one
Sole Survivor and it would take all
the manipulations the man-boy could
muster and all the poise the lady-girl
could muster to advance in the game.
In the end it would be poise that
prevailed over manipulation as the two
pled their cases to the powers that
would decide which dream to fulfill. Was
one dreamer more worthy and the other
less valid? The deciding factor, it
seems, would be the years of practice
playing the role with poise and grace.
The frog sadly, had not practiced these
particular skills and was unable to make
the transformation from frog into
Prince. And thus on a cool winter
evening, far from Happy Valley, one
dream ended and another grew real. The
girl-lady became the Princess.
And as the prize money was doled out,
the moral of the story became clear to
both the man-boy and the lady-girl. It
was not whether your dream was fulfilled
that cool evening, but rather that you
chose to dream at all. After all, living
a dream is only half of the
process...you have to have the dream in
the first place.
Congratulations to all of the cast this
season on living their dream and to the
Sole Survivor, Amanda Kimmel.
4th
place - Denise Martin
3rd
place - Courtney Yates
2nd
place - Todd Herzog
Sole
Survivor - Amanda Kimmel
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Episode
12 - 'Hello, I'm still a person'
'Great Wall of
Fei Long'
By Blind Freddy - 12.13.07
This episode Peih-Gee finds her path to the
million dollars blocked by a variation of one
of Survivor's sacred pagong tools...The
Great Wall of Fei Long. Not only will Peih-Gee
not travel to the true Great Wall of China for
the E12 Reward, but she will also be stymied
by the remnants of the Fei Long tribe for
admittance to the elite Final 4.
As this season of Survivor: China has
progressed, great expectations for scenery,
drama and cultural exposure were promoted
during the preseason. To date Survivor: China
has surpassed these expectations, providing a
unique peek into the cultural mystery that is
China. The unfolding of the drama and
characters that make up the heart of this
Reality series has also been intriguing to
watch develop. One glaring shortcoming was
this past episode's editorial inclusion of
Family Visit footage/audio that strayed into
unnecessary personal, private and delicate
areas. And apparently all for the sake of some
tie-ins to previous ratings grabbers. Even if
these personal issues come to arise at the
Final TC Q & A by the Jury, they could
have easily been edited out all around.
Tackiness has seeming found a welcome home at
SEG production department.
Moving
on...the edit of Amanda seems headed directly
toward the winner's circle, though Todd is
certainly being shown as worthy of the
winner's title. And Courtney has progressed
from a spoiled NYC brat to a sympathetic duck
out of water doing her best. And with Denise,
as the sympathy edit for her increases each
week, we know in our guts that her time is
short. If only she had joined Peih-Gee to
fill-in James on his impending blindside, we'd
have a much different Final 3.
Which brings us to Peih-Gee. As the lone
surviving member of the Zhan Hu tribe, she has
managed to dodge the boot every episode since
the fateful Merge, including via two
Individual Immunity Challenge victories. With
the Fei Long 'Welcome' mat withdrawn before
the Zhan Hus even appeared at Fei Long's doorstep,
the fate of the Zhan Hus was cast in stone. More
than earning her Survivor moniker as she
finally moves beyond Fei Long's Great
Wall...we Welcome Home Survivor Peih-Gee.
Episode
12 Boot - Peih-Gee Law
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Episode
11 - 'Going For The Oscar'
'And The Oscar
Goes To...'
By Blind Freddy
- 12.06.07
"And the Oscar goes to...<dramatic
pause>...Mark Burnett....for 'Survivor'
" <and the crowd gasps>. Far
fetched? Undeserved? Read on.
Episode 11 will be giving an homage to
the Survivor fans via the seemingly impossible
task of not only transforming Reality into
fantasy...but also the harder task of transforming
fantasy into Reality. How is it done
you ask? Smoke and mirrors, as always my
friends.
Over the course of time, the course of events
and the course of Spoiling, fans both avid and
evil have created in their cyber Survivor
world a series of illusions about what
should happen, what could
happen and what was going to happen.
Wishful thinking never had it so good. So much
so that it has been the glue that held this
cyber world together via a myriad of message
forums. More of a Tower of Babel than a house
of cards, this synergy of Survivor enthusiasm
has not only spurred the infamous Survivor
Entertainment Group to adapt suggestions and
ideas by the fanbase into the show's format
but also spawned (and there is no better word)
the genesis of hoaxers to no end. Some have
been more successful than others...a few with
great finesse. A pinch of truth stretches more evenly
through a pound of false than you might first
imagine.
There have been so many hoaxes in fact that
they have been compiled and reviled and have
generated their own variations like bad seeds
cast adrift by an errant Jesus. Unclecamerman,
Cruiseship, Edna Lester, Liz Kicks Butts and
on and on. We've seen Black Gretchens, Loser
Lodge lists, film crew sheets and even
chocolate bars falling from the sky. Is nothing
impossible?
One of the more interesting of these reports
is that of a horseback version of 'Marco
Polo', the children's game. This appeared back
in the day of Survivor Outback(S2) and was
tied by unanimous hysteria to the fate of
Rodger Bingham and of all things...horses.
Aborted from the loins of the LA Times, a
'news' story arose about a horseback injury on
the set of Survivor Outback. This was
deconstructed by Survivor fans into broken
collar bones...Outback horseback
photos....Rodger's exit...and eventually into
the infamous 'Marco Polo' horseback challenge
where blindfolded cast rode horses trying to
dethrone each other. A more imperfect
evolution of information and theory into
speculation and fantasy could not be imagined.
And now from this bottomless pool of
synergistic fantasy, SEG has shamelessly
morphed this into their latest and
greatest challenge...'Marco Polo' ala Chinese
style. Not content to just embarrass the cast
with the usual blindfolded stumble bumble
routine, their loved ones from home are sucked
into the cesspool as well, as Yin is to Yang.
And thus the successful transformation of
fantasy into Reality. Nobody does it better.
Do you begrudge Mark the Oscar now?
The boot this episode will be decided by the
swing vote of Denise who perhaps grateful for
the Shaolin Temple Reward visit, spares
Peih-Gee's fate for one last episode and in
turn seals that of Erik's. To his credit, Erik
has played his game as quiet and
unassuming as possible while cajoling his way
to survival via his considerable charm and chastity.
There is no sure fire path to survival and
this strategy has worked as well as any...for
awhile anyway. Welcome home Survivor Erik. |
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Episode
11 Boot - Erik Hoffman |
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Episode
10 - 'Ready To Bite The Apple'
'Everybody
Was Kung Fu Fighting'
By Blind
Freddy 11.29.07

<click
for video> 'Kung Fu Fighting' - HiBand-218kbps
LoBand-150kbps
This episode has been
promoted as both one of intrigue involving
backstabbing as well as one of unique
Chinese cultural interaction. The cultural
interaction involves the ancient Chinese
Martial Art of Kung Fu fighting. The Reward
involves a trip to Shaolin Temple the
originating place of Kung Fu. Demonstrations
by Kung Fu experts along with a feast will
be presented to the Reward winners. Denise
especially will appreciate this experience.
And if the Reward
winners are wise, they will pick up some
tips on using the Shuriken (Throwing Stars),
as that will be the test for the Survivors
in the Immunity Challenge later in the
episode. In the end, either Denise's
Karate/knife throwing skills or Erik's
baseball background (credit: KObrienFan) might
the edge to Immunity here.
Which brings us to the
dramatic conclusion (more dramatic than
Courtney's dramatic confessional drivels) of
the backstabbing of James, the consummate
warrior. While he possesses unprecedented
Immunity potential via the two Hidden Idols,
James will fail to invoke their protection
at Tribal Council. This will provide
the opportunity for the previewed
backstabbing plan hatched by competitors all
the way back to Jean-Robert. Editing is
showing Amanda tweaking Todd to throw
the fatal Boot Star at his back.
James has shown himself
to be an fearless challenge warrior. He has
been a relentless worker in camp and a
faithful ally to his backstabbers. His only
weakness is his lack of depth in game
strategy which is vital to survival among
his peers. Welcome home James, you've more
than earned your Survivor status. And if
rumors are correct we'll be seeing you once
again as a Survivor, sooner than perhaps we
might have once thought.
Episode
10 Boot - James Clement
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Episode
9 - 'Just Don't Eat The Apple'
'InaGardenOfEatin...Baby'
By Blind Freddy 11.15.07
<click for
music: InagardenofeatinRemix.wma>
This episode Survivor
China will take us to a place most have read of,
but never visited. While the beauty that
is inland China overwhelms and mystifies us
each week, a new sanctum of indescribable
beauty and apparently undeniable temptation will
be offered the Survivors this week.
Within
the Garden of Eden that Lake Zhelin appears
to be, lies a special treat for the
Survivors...the Garden of Eatin'. This episode
Jeff Probst will offer the Survivors a choice
between satisfying their appetite for food and
satisfying their safety at Tribal Council. Burgers
or a chance to win Immunity. For some who feel
safe, they will partake of the Garden. For others
who feel the shadow of the tribal boot, they will
make every attempt to win Immunity. For one
fortunate Survivor, safety via the Immunity
Necklace will be consolation for the Garden
bypass. For another inconsolable Survivor,
the burden of passing on both the food and
Immunity will be overwhelming.
One additional
species always present, in this and any Garden, is
Survivor's ever present vermin...the snake. This
episode the snake will make his appearance,
striking with accuracy on his victim.
Unfortunately for the snake, he too will be bitten
when the prey reappears to pass judgment for the
million dollars. Such is life in the Survivor
Garden of Eatin'.
Frosti has been a
great cast member bringing his own special flair
to the challenges this season. While low profile
and strategic deals are generally the path to
safety on Survivor, it's the inconvenient snake
that always gets you. Welcome home Survivor
Frosti.
Episode
9 Boot - Mike 'Frosti' Zernow
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Episode 8 - 'High School Friend
Contest'
'Snookered'
By Blind Freddy 11.08.07
For
fifteen seasons now Mark Burnett has loved to showcase
castaways faltering in their chosen area of expertise.
The oars(wo)man who can't row. The chopper who can't
chop. The Mensa who can't solve puzzles...and on and on.
And Survivor China is no exception.
In episode eight, we find Jean-Robert
the Poker champion scrambling for his life when he finds
out he has been Outwitted, Outplayed and soon to be
Outlasted by his non-Poker playing comrades. This Poker
master should be able to read the 'tells' of any and all
of his rivals, especially at this point in the game.
However last TC Jean-Robert found himself completely in
the dark about the Hidden Idols, which virtually
everyone else knew full well about.
And what play does this Poker master
pull from his bag of tricks?...the bluff play.
Jean-Robert tries to bluff the one person in the tribe
who knows without a doubt what and where the Hidden
Idol(s) are...because he (James) has both of them
already. This will be a bluff very poorly played and the
results will be very 'telling'.
While Jean-Robert has many of the
tools that would potentially help him in his Survivor
quest for the million dollars, he has fallen short from
the get-go by violating one of the basic rules of any
game, Poker or otherwise: 'respect your opponent'.
Jean-Robert failed to do much of any research on how
Survivor is played or even whom might be attracted to
such a social game. He failed to respect the quality of
the game and the quality of his opponents. This will be
his downfall. The 'rubes' Jean-Robert might have thought
he was facing will take him to task at Tribal Council
and call him on his bluff. Coming up empty handed,
Jean-Robert will exit much sooner than his vast
abilities might have carried him were he to have done
even the minimum background research on Survivor.
So Jean-Robert good-guy/bad-guy
strategy will come to an end tonight revealing his own
'tells' to future Poker opponents. Survivor is a vicious
social game that rivals any in the card playing world.
He would do well to keep that in mind the next time he
visits the card table as well.
Welcome home Survivor Jean-Robert, it
was a good run while it lasted. Next time know and
respect your opponents.
Episode
8 Boot - Jean-Robert Bellande
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Episode 7 - 'I'm Not as Dumb as I
Look'
'Stupid is as Stupid Does'
By Blind Freddy 11.01.07
This episode brings the Merge to the
castaways just as a pallor of stupidity envelopes them
all. Hidden Idols are wistfully created in people's
minds as they will seem to spring up everywhere this
episode. Stupid is as stupid does.
And even those who have the real
ones aren't fully thinking things through when
bragging about their invincibility at Tribal
Council of all places. Someone will even attempt to
lighten James' heavy HI load a bit until SEG slaps their
hand and says: 'No!'. Lastly we have Courtney continuing
on her Quixote-like quest to boot her evil nemesis
Jean-Robert...much to Todd's frustration. Stupid is as
stupid does.
So it would seem the theme for this
episode would likely fit the Forrest Gump soundbite of: 'Stupid
is as stupid does'. So when we think back to
Jaime's poor tact with regard to the IC5 chal
throw, it should come as no surprise that the stupid
gene runs deeper than just this episode. It's one thing
to make a clever play and yet another to rub it in
someone's face. Stupid is as stupid does.
A hard fighting gamer beneath a
placid exterior, Jaime has gamed her way this far to win
the heart of Erik and the votes of her enemies. A true
survivor...welcome home Survivor Jaime.
Episode
7 Boot - Jaime Dugan
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Episode 6 - 'That's Love Baby, It
Makes You Strong!'
'Strategery'
By Blind Freddy - 10.25.07
Sometimes a pic is worth a thousand
words. This is one of those times.

This episode strategy
and sometimes 'strategery' will come into play big time
as James struggles to survive over at NuZhanHu. As deals
fly and wizards whiz, a dangerous plan is concocted to
turn the tables on those challenge throwing NuHus of the
yellow buffed variety.
I suggest that Survivor
whiz-kid Todd along with Amanda and under the watchful
gaze of peeping-tom Frosti, will discover the
NuFeiLong Hidden Idol. Hush money in the form of Episode
Immunity is promised as deals are made. One step in the
plan is the kidnap of James back home to report on all
things HuZu.
When the HuZu 'strategery'
of challenge throwing is fully realized, a counter
strategy is proposed to give the HI to James for his
return to HuZu land. And hopes are raised to lure the
HuZus into following through with an Immunity challenge
throw and a TC targeting of James. The obvious
consequences of such a complicated plan are the booting
of one of HuZu's own in James' place.
Now 'strategery' is an
interesting approach to gameplans both in real life and
reality life as we've come to know. Solid planning can
often go awry when assumptions are made and the power of
free will runs amok. Some of both can be expected this
episode.
Ultimately, I predict
that James' ambush plan will go unfulfilled and
NuFeiLong will lose the Gross Food IC. Now this is where
strategy from an orphaned NuZu will prove vital to his
safety. Remember peeping-tom Frosti?...well that deal to
hush will save him this episode and force the boot of
Sherea. In this case, 'no plan' is clearly inferior to a
dangerous plan, a bad plan...and even to, dare we say
it: 'strategery'.
Sherea is well
accustomed to making teacher plans in her real world
classroom. It's hard to understand why there seemed to
be no real plan in her Reality world adventure. Perhaps
it was just too well hidden. Regardless, Sherea
excelled in the challenges and proved herself worthy of
the title Survivor. Welcome home Survivor Sherea.
Episode
6 Boot - Sherea Lloyd
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Episode 4 - 'Ride the Workhorse Till
the Tail Falls Off'
'Save a
Horse, Ride a Bartender'
By Blind Freddy - 10.11.07
Well here we are again, same
pony...same ride...just further along on the boot trail.
Get-along-little-doggy, get-along. Dave has
extended his fifteen minutes to twenty while foiling the
spoilers in the process. So kudos to CBS for salvaging
at least one boot (so far) for the season. Are they on a
roll?
Justifying a Dave boot (once again)
is easy for the fans. Dave it seems has offended most,
if not everyone, on his tribe with his sarcasm and
slighting remarks. Just bad judgment on his part I'd say
and not necessarily a mean streak in his heart. This is after all,
a TV show...remember? And a Reality one at that.
Sharing the spotlight this episode
will be the rise (and soon to fall) spotlight of
Jean-Robert as he implements his unique good
survivor/bad survivor strategy. Unfortunately low energy
levels provide for low attention spans and at this point
in the game his trajectory course might be already
plotted.
In the meantime, Dave's usefulness
as the workhorse over at Zhan Hu is running thin
as the ever shrinking tribe reduces to its core.
And even some of those will be thankful for the coming
switch next episode to save their hides.
So are there any surprises left for
the viewers? Of course...CBS would never fill in all the
blanks. So keep your eyes on the prize(s)...Hidden Idols
that is...lots of surprises in that area during
the coming episodes.
Welcome home (again) Dave. Time for
the workhorse to hit the barn.
Episode
4 Boot - Dave Cruser
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Episode
3 - 'I Lost Two Hands and Possibly a Shoulder'
'Home
Improvement'
By Blind Freddy 12.04.07
As things deteriorate at the
Zhan Hu homefront, its inhabitants continue to search
for a way to do some home improvement. Let's see...they
could re-build their shelter someplace other than a
swamp/mud pit. They could hide the dirt under the
metaphorical rug, pretending it doesn't exist while
continuing to circle the drain. Or maybe they could do a
clean sweep of the debris within their camp and start
anew.
Now any major home improvement
project requires a handyman, one handy with tools...a 'toolman'
per se. Low and behold, square in the middle of the Zhan
Hu squalor sits our very own Dave 'the toolman' Cruser.
Let's see if he can make things right.
Ummmm no, apparently he
can't...though he can build a mean BBQ. Unfortunately
the cuisine of choice is not BBQ but rather Stir Fry.
And who better to stir and fry his butt than his fellow
tribemates who are tired of the attitude and rudeness.
In Dave's defense, outdoor survival with rudimentary
provisions will test anyone's patience. But with a
million dollars at stake, a little patience costs very
little against the long-term payback.
Normally, tribal progress
should be at least as fast as even today's relaxed
construction worker standards. And deadlines should
be met just like any home improvement project. But
you'd think that a 'toolman' like Dave would know his
craft and keep the project moving along smoothly. Well
you'd be wrong.
Dave chose poorly when he took the
leadership bait. He chose poorly in his communication
methods. He chose poorly in setting his priorities. And
now the tribe will hold him accountable for his actions.
Not that it will change much considering the poor
work habits of an unskilled tribe. Afterall there's only
so much you can do with the tools you have left...now
isn't there.
Welcome home Survivor Dave, it's a
shame to leave a project undone but it's somebody else's
mess now. The lesson to be learned here: if you're gonna
be a toolman, you'd better at least know how to use your
tools. We'll see if the workerbees do any better on
their own. Oh wait...Chicken said that same thing. And
the beat goes on....
Episode
3 Boot - Dave Cruser

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Episode
2 - 'My Mom is Going to Kill Me'
'Big Trouble in
Little China'
By Blind Freddy 9.27.07
In the world of the blind, the one eyed
man is King. In the world of warfare, the biggest rock
wins...most of the time. But this season in China, one tribe
declines a gift-in-hand from the Probster, which virtually
lays out a gameplan for victory. The other tribe embraces it.
Guess which tribe will dominate the game...that's right, not
the one with biggest rock but the one who knows how to throw
it.
After booting their strength in the
premiere Tribal Council visit, one can only wonder what the
Zhan Hus were thinking. Perhaps it's 'boot all my tribemate
competitors as fast as I can regardless of the
consequences...and hope I'm still there to be Pagonged'?
Ultimately I think it's less of a thought process than the
'anyone but me' mantra of scared chickens dodging pieces of a
falling sky. My gawd it's episode one of many more to
come and they've already surrendered their spirits to
cannibalism. I'd have to say at this point that there's big
trouble in little China.
One of the gems of wisdom that Season 2
Sole Survivor, Tina Wesson bestowed upon the spoiler community
was to watch whom the cast stand/sit next to as well as whom
they vote for. Two Zhanbies in particular voted out of sync
from the rest of the chickens last episode: Dave and
Ashley. If Tina's wisdom is to play out, one of those would be
at risk were the Zhan Hus to return to TC again.
Lo and behold, as sure as chickens don't
have lips and silicone is not found only at the beach, we
see the Art of War playing out before our eyes and the victims
lining up for execution. If not this week, then next. Only
manipulations of the playbook will save those who have failed
to pay homage to Sun Tzu's wisdom.
In the game of Survivor, carrying baggage
is not a good thing. Whether it is because you managed to
sneak by homeland security or they were just 'star struck' at
inspection time. Either way, eventually the baggage will cause
a moment of weakness in a game of strength.
This week the biggest rock will be in
jeopardy while the smartest rock will prevail. Welcome home
Survivor Ashley...while you still have your baggage, the
bad news is that they've got a Ponderosa destination tag
on them.
Episode
2 Boot - Ashley Massaro
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Episode 1 - 'A Chicken's a Little Bit Smarter'
'Where
I Come From'............(It's
Cornbread and Chicken)
By BlindFreddy 9.19.07
'Cause where I come from
It's cornbread and chicken
Where I come from a lotta front porch pickin'
Where I come from tryin' to make a livin'
And workin' hard to get to heaven
Where I come from...' - Alan Jackson
It's
almost a sure bet that at some point during Episode 1 of Survivor:
China, Steve 'Chicken' Morris will utter the words: "Where I
come from..." And that will be his undoing. It's only fitting
that in Survivor's waning days, that some elements from its initial
season reemerge to begin to complete the cycle.
Now a channeling of BB from Season One would
seem a likely mistake for any Survivor fan to make, but that's the plate
that gets served up this episode during the construction of the
Zhan Hu tribe's shelter. Somehow old fashioned comfort food doesn't
translate well to the Chinese menu laid out for this season.
And from promo videos and online sources (ty
DanieuBleau) it seems unlikely that 'Chicken' will be doing a lot
of front porch sittin' way sooner than he might have thought of when
he first journeyed to the land of China.
But as this season begins by entering the Dragon
via an elaborate Dragon Dance obstacle course, we might find several
of the cast who have dutifully done their homework will survive deep
into the game. Finally after 16 seasons, it could pay to
be a fan.
Welcome home Survivor Steve. While China was
just a little too far off the country roads you know and love well, there's
always Cornbread and Chicken waitin' just a step or two from that
front porch of yours to comfort you upon your return home.
Episode
1 boot - Steve 'Chicken' Morris
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